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Mortgage rate news this week - June 11, 2026
Mortgage rates top 6.5% as inflation spikes
Hopes for sub-6% mortgage rates in 2026 keep fading. The average rate for 30-year home loans rose slightly to 6.55% this week, according to Bankrate's national survey of lenders. That’s up from 6.51% the previous week. Rates on 15-year loans also increased a bit.
The war in Iran has put pressure on energy prices, which are, in turn, driving up consumer prices. Energy costs pushed May’s consumer price index up 4.2% from a year ago, the Labor Department said Wednesday. That’s the highest level of inflation in three years, and it’s well above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.
“Markets seem to be coming to terms with the idea that we may not see the long-expected Fed rate cut in 2026, even with a new Fed chairman,” says Dr. Sean Salter, associate professor of finance at Middle Tennessee State University.
While the Federal Reserve doesn’t directly control mortgage rates, it does set the overall tone. Mortgage rates generally move with 10-year Treasury yields, and inflation is causing those to stay higher.
“Upside risks to inflation are building again,” says Selma Hepp, chief economist at real estate data firm Cotality. “Ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly the conflict involving Iran, are keeping pressure on energy prices and inflation expectations, just as underlying inflation remains stubborn. At the same time, tariffs and renewed supply chain disruptions are pushing up the cost of construction inputs — from materials to labor — which is feeding through to higher reconstruction and replacement costs and insurance premiums. That combination is keeping Treasury yields elevated and reinforcing a ‘higher-for-longer’ rate environment, which continues to put a floor under mortgage rates.”
Meanwhile, data from the National Association of Realtors shows that home sales are still muted, clocking an annual pace of 4.17 million homes in May. The median sale price rose to $429,300, a record for the month of May.
Should mortgage rates north of 6.5% delay your homebuying plans? Probably not. You’ll own your home for years, while mortgage rates bounce around continually. “I try to focus people on the things we can control,” says Jason Gale, a Redfin agent in New Orleans. “We can't control mortgage rates, and we don't control the geopolitical climate.”
Keep in mind that housing markets in the U.S. diverge widely. Texas and Florida are now buyer’s markets, but parts of the Northeast and Midwest remain strong seller’s markets. And for many borrowers, the possibility of a future refinance can ease your mind. Should mortgage rates plunge in a year or two, you can always trade in your loan for one with a lower rate.
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