Longer lifespans will
lower insurance rates
By Paul
Bannister Bankrate.com
There's good news. We're all living longer, and the
insurance industry is rewarding us for it.
Life insurance rates will be going down as much as
one-third for some people in the not-too-distant future.
It's all because regulators have revised life-expectancy
projections -- known as mortality tables -- for the first time since
1980.
"Advances in medicine and healthier lifestyles
mean that almost everybody is living longer," says Bob Barney,
president of Kentucky-based Compulife Software, which monitors insurance
rates. "A man who is 40 years old today can expect to live
to be 78, not 73, as was the expectation 25 years ago."
Over the next several years, rates for some life insurance
policies called term policies will drop as much as 30 per cent.
Other types of life insurance will see smaller decreases and even
whole-life policies should decline, but it's not yet clear how much.
Here's a quick look at the four
major types of life insurance.
Why companies will reduce rates
"State insurance commissioners and regulators decide how
much money companies must set aside for death benefits, claims or
other pay outs. The new mortality tables allow them to trim the
size of those financial reserves they require companies to keep,"
says Barney.
"If policyholders live longer, the companies
have the use of their premiums longer, and can make more profit,
which mean savings they can pass on to the customer.
"This will save the insurers money, and because
of competition, companies will have no choice but to re-price their
policies, pushing the cost down to insurance buyers."
When cuts will take effect
Although some insurers have already started slashing rates,
there won't be a simultaneous, across-the-board drop because states
have five years to adopt the new standards, says Grant Hemphill,
a consulting actuary and member of the American Academy of Actuaries,
which compiled the new standards.
"Companies are working on it now," says
Hemphill, who helps produce The Van Elsen Report, a publication
for actuaries and corporate officers. He adds, "Most companies
are already repricing term insurance products and we could see them
on offer by late fall or early in 2004."
Compulife's Barney says the race to put cheaper products
on the market will heat up soon.
"The states do not have to adopt the new tables
until 2009, but I expect to see things happening faster than that.
The fur will certainly fly once a few states and the companies who
operate from them begin using the new mortality tables," he
says.
"The first companies on the block with price
decreases will obviously have an advantage, and the others will
race to play catch-up.
"Just when it's going to happen isn't clear.
I guarantee that some companies are working now on new products,
but getting a new one to market is a grueling process that can take
months. It might even be a few years before the cuts start showing,
and they will only be for new policies, not for existing ones."
Lone Star State moves first
Texas is the first state to adopt the new tables, and San Antonio-based
USAA Life Insurance Co. claims to be the first insurer to offer
lower rates based on the revised tables.
"The new mortality tables, along with strong
operational performance, created an opportunity for us to offer
significant savings, especially on term life insurance products,"
says Jim Middleton, CEO of the $66 billion, five-million-customer
company.
"Actuarial tables are used to calculate the probability
of death at a certain age. The longer a policyholder is expected
to live, the lower the risk and cost associated with that policy,"
he says. "We took the initiative to pass these savings on to
our customers as soon as possible."
USAA offers insurance in 40 states, and says it has
cut rates on new term policies between 10 and 30 percent.
A 35-year-old woman who until recently would have
paid $208 a year for $250,000 worth of coverage will now pay $160,
says Middleton.
The new tables specifically affect only life insurance,
not other kinds of coverage, and what's most affected by the changes
are the longest of the term policies, the basic coverage chosen
by most consumers.
Term policies account for 20% of the $11 billion worth
of life insurance sold each year in America. Whole life polices
have a 26% share of the market, universal life takes 21% and variable
policies account for the remaining 33%.
The new tables, says actuary Hemphill, does not impact
annuities, contracts that typically pay investors a monthly benefit
until death, because they had new tables of their own that incorporate
longer life expectancies, drawn up in 2000.
Rate cuts may exceed 30 percent
"We can't yet give an exact figure, but this should illustrate
how much the new tables will save the customer," says Barney,
whose Kentucky state regulators have not yet adopted the new mortality
tables.
"Previously, a 45-year-old male non-smoker seeking
$500,000 worth of term life insurance in a 30-year policy would
pay $910 annually. This would be for a policy that does not guarantee
fixed premiums after 10 years.
"If he wanted to have a guaranteed fixed premium,
he'd pay $1,205 a year for the same insurance.
"Under the new tables, with lower reserve requirements,
premiums will drop to about $900 for a guaranteed policy. That's
a difference of some $300 a year or around $9,000 over 30 years
"If the customer is older, the savings are even
greater. At age 50, the cost of that same guaranteed fixed-premium
plan is $1,990, or $1,265 per year for a plan without the premium
cost being guaranteed.
"This $1,265 is what I expect the cost will be
for a guaranteed fixed premium plan under the new tables.
"The older client will save more than $700, or
more than twice as much as a younger client saves, when the new
mortality tables are used!"
Consider canceling existing policies
Barney added, "Some people might want to cancel their
existing policies and buy a new one at a lower rate. You might be
able to get the same coverage for less, or more cover for the same
premium.
"Just be sure you have met any medical requirements
and that your new policy is in force before you cancel the old one.
"Do not wait until next year when the new, lower-priced
policies might arrive. Things could happen -- you could die, your
health or other circumstances could change.
"If you need insurance, buy it now, and check
the price in a year or two. We will probably see more competitively
priced whole life policies in the near future, but don't wait for
it.
"You can always buy term insurance that you can
convert in two or four years. Just make sure you have insurance,
then keep shopping to make sure you have a good deal."
"People should buy insurance based on their needs,
and not wait for a better bargain down the road. The rule is shop
around, and if you have questions discuss them with an agent,"
says Hemphill.
Here's how much longer actuaries expect people at
various ages to live:
|
Life expectancies:
Then and now
|
|
Current Age
|
Male
(1980 predictions)
|
Male
(2003 predictions)
|
|
Female
(1980 predictions)
|
Female
(2003 predictions)
|
|
0
|
70
|
76
|
75
|
80
|
|
30
|
72
|
77
|
77
|
81
|
|
50
|
74
|
78
|
79
|
82
|
|
60
|
77
|
80
|
80
|
83
|
|
65
|
78
|
81
|
81
|
85
|
|
Source: USAA
|
|