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Inflation rates are up in double-digit territory in some parts of the world, inciting riots. But here in the U.S. we see benign
rates of 2.7 percent. Don't you feel safe, secure -- even smug?
Well, don't, because that "core" number, which removes food and energy prices from the equation, is a fairy tale.
Once upon a time, weather- and OPEC-induced supply shocks caused gyrations in food and energy prices, so a core inflation number
was introduced to remove the wild price swings from the inflation equation. Today, even though global trading lessens the intensity of these
supply shocks, we're stuck with a number that grossly underestimates the true rate of inflation in this country.
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| Inflation sensation |
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Meanwhile, U.S. consumers are getting
slapped by inflation reality every time they check
out at the grocery store or pay at the gas pump.
I don't know about you, but my standard refrain
in both venues over the past several months has
been, "Holy macroeconomics!" (That's the sanitized
version. It's actually more like, "Holy crap!")
Not benign at all
Despite the pain of its effects in recent months, inflation generally creeps up unnoticed until you walk down memory lane. Get a load of how
prices have escalated over the past several decades.
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Movements of goods, wages, DJIA |
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| $1.06 |
$1.94 |
$3.06 |
| $0.21 |
$0.71 |
$1.97 |
| $2,350 |
$6,294 |
$23,000 |
| $0.25 |
$1.27 |
$3.00 |
| $30,000 |
$110,610 |
$221,000 |
| $6,080 |
$12,866 |
$34,335 |
| 874.13 |
1,211.57 |
13,000 |
| Source: Spectrum Unlimited LLC |
The numbers fluctuate, of course. Since these numbers were published a few months ago, gas prices climbed, the Dow dropped and
home values tumbled to $206,200. And if you prefer a specialty bread at the bakery
rather than a standard loaf at the grocer, you'll pay double the price listed above for it.
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