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Mortgage rates dip, but still above 6.5%

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Published on June 03, 2026 | 2 min read

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Image by PM Images/Getty Images; Illustration by Hunter Newton/Bankrate
Mortgage rates retreated this week, with the 30-year fixed rate averaging 6.51%, down from 6.56% last week, according to Bankrate’s latest lender survey.

Current mortgage rates

Loan type Current 4 weeks ago One year ago 52-week average 52-week low
30-year 6.51% 6.43% 6.89% 6.42% 6.09%
15-year 5.82% 5.73% 6.06% 5.68% 5.45%
30-year jumbo 6.62% 6.51% 6.88% 6.51% 6.22%

The 30-year fixed mortgages in this week’s survey had an average total of 0.35 discount and origination points. Discount points are a way to lower your mortgage rate, while origination points are fees lenders charge to create, review and process your loan.

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Monthly mortgage payment at today’s rates

The national median family income for 2026 is $106,800, according to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and the median price of an existing home sold in April 2026 was $417,700, according to the National Association of Realtors. Based on a 20% down payment and a 6.51% mortgage rate, the monthly principal and interest payment of $2,114 amounts to about 24% of the typical family’s monthly income.

Meanwhile, home prices have begun to dip in many formerly hot markets. Separately, the S&P Cotality Case-Shiller index released May 26 showed national home prices grew just 0.7% in the past year. That was the weakest showing since 2011, when prices fell 3.9%.

“More than half of the 20 major U.S. housing markets recorded year-over-year price declines in March, reflecting a broadening and deepening housing slowdown,” said Nicholas Godec of the S&P Dow Jones Indices.  

What will happen to mortgage rates in the rest of 2026?

The Federal Reserve has opted to hold its benchmark rate steady at recent meetings, and now it’s possible that the Fed might actually raise rates. Rising inflation has been the main driver of higher mortgage rates — the April consumer price index was up 3.8% from a year earlier, well above the Fed’s 2% target. Oil prices have spiked amid the conflict in Iran, pushing inflation up and lifting mortgage rates from their 2026 low of 6.09%.

Housing economists no longer expect mortgage rates to fall below 6% in the near future, a reality that’s affecting home sales. Higher mortgage rates, still-record home prices and persistent inflation are likely to push the brakes further on home sales.

“We have a record-high level of jobs. We should have record-high levels of home sales, theoretically,” Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors, said Wednesday during an event in Miami. Instead, home sales are well below normal.

However, some industry insiders expect rates to settle as the war in Iran reaches a resolution. “I see rates falling back — and maybe we can even test that 6% range again,” says Jim McMahan, president of Benchmark Mortgage.

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