Housing appreciation isn't all profit
By Greg
McBride, CFA Bankrate.com
Homeownership
may not be the moneymaker you think it is. Instead, you may be lucky
to get back the money spent on closing costs, mortgage payments,
property taxes, property insurance, maintenance, homeowners association
fees, and real estate commissions by the time you sell.
Wait! Stop! Don't send that angry e-mail yet. I'm
not disparaging homeownership. It clearly maintains distinct advantages
to renting, where there is no end-of-term rebate. It is, however,
crucial evidence in the case against entering a budget-busting commitment
by buying more house than you can comfortably afford. It bolsters
the idea of living within one's means and not being "house
poor." Unfortunately, this is the antithesis of what many have
done by stretching to buy a first home or upgrade to a bigger home,
particularly in high-cost areas.
Homeownership is still a positive move because you
can live essentially "rent free" if you earn back the
money expended.
However, your actual profit isn't as simple as saying,
"I bought the house for x, sold it for y, and pocketed the
difference." Neither is the accumulated equity stake by the
time the home is sold an accurate depiction of the profit earned.
Instead, compare that accumulated equity stake -- net of all sales
costs -- with the amount invested for initial closing costs, all
monthly mortgage payments, annual property tax bills, property insurance
premiums, and costs for maintenance and upkeep, plus any ancillary
fees such as homeowners association dues or assessments.
Consider the out-of-pocket costs over the course
of several years and the annual rate of appreciation needed just
to earn them back. Let's take a look at a home that you buy for
$200,000 today. We'll assume the following: The buyer makes a $20,000
down payment and finances $180,000 at 6 percent on a 30-year fixed
mortgage, with closing costs of $5,500. Our buyer is in the 27 percent
marginal tax bracket, pays property taxes fixed at 2 percent of
purchase price, property insurance of $100 a month, forks over $50
a month to a homeowners association, and spends $100 a month on
maintenance and upkeep. When the house is sold, there's a 5 percent
real estate sales commission paid.
Here's a look at how the break-even point changes
over time:
|
1
|
$45,450
|
$177,789
|
$234,989
|
17.5%
|
|
2
|
$65,400
|
$175,443
|
$253,519
|
12.6%
|
|
3
|
$85,350
|
$172,951
|
$271,896
|
10.8%
|
|
5
|
$125,250
|
$167,498
|
$308,155
|
9.0%
|
|
7
|
$165,150
|
$161,351
|
$343,685
|
8.0%
|
|
10
|
$225,000
|
$150,634
|
$395,404
|
7.0%
|
Itemizing on taxes, and thereby deducting interest
expense and property taxes, boosts homeowners' returns. Notice the
smaller net investment and subsequent appreciation required to recoup
the costs for a homeowner that deducts mortgage interest and property
taxes.
|
1
|
$41,470
|
$177,789
|
$219,259
|
15.4%
|
|
2
|
$57,478
|
$175,443
|
$232,921
|
10.7%
|
|
3
|
$73,524
|
$172,951
|
$246,475
|
9.1%
|
|
5
|
$105,744
|
$167,498
|
$273,244
|
7.5%
|
|
7
|
$138,151
|
$161,351
|
$299,502
|
6.7%
|
|
10
|
$187,166
|
$150,634
|
$337,800
|
5.9%
|
While itemizing can make a big difference, not
everyone can or does itemize. Currently, just 32 percent of households
itemize their deductions, while more than 68 percent own their homes.
The price appreciation needed in the above examples
is just to return the money expended to that point. It does not
factor in the time value of money, the concept whereby $100 expended
two years ago is worth more than $100 now. Nor does this appreciation
factor in any return on the money invested, other than that recouping
expenses incurred over the period of ownership amounts to living
rent-free. Even a 20 percent down payment has only a modest impact
on the annual appreciation needed to return to break-even. One significant
reason is that the repayment of principal in the early years of
a 30-year loan may be outweighed by property taxes -- even after
the tax deduction -- which waters down the impact of making a larger
down payment and borrowing less.
Shorter holding periods put you in particular peril
of failing to recoup your costs. Over the long haul, the steady
accumulation of equity works to offset the hefty transaction costs
for buying and selling, in addition to the other ongoing costs of
homeownership. As a result, the average rate of price appreciation
needed to recoup all costs declines with time.
The transaction costs involved in buying and selling
a home and the day-to-day costs of upkeep and debt service amount
to a significant sum of money. Fortunately, homeownership provides
the ability to recoup many, if not all, of these expenditures when
the house is sold. But homeownership to the exclusion of investing
for retirement, saving for a rainy day, or lifestyle choices such
as travel, recreational pursuits, or charitable giving may ultimately
prove less financially rewarding than expected.
Greg McBride is a financial analyst
for Bankrate.com.
For advice regarding your specific
situation, please e-mail one of Bankrate.com's
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& Community channel on Bankrate.com.
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