Fed slashes rates another half-percent
By Bankrate.com
For
the fifth time in five months, Federal Reserve Board officials slashed
interest rates by one-half a percentage point, saying that weakness
in business spending, falling stock prices and uncertainty about
the future continue to threaten economic growth.
The May 15 move lowers the key federal funds rate
to 4 percent from 4.5 percent and the federal discount rate to 3.5
percent from 4 percent. The funds rate, which guides the private-market
rates banks charge on everything from home equity lines of credit
to auto loans and what they pay out on certificates of deposit and
money market accounts, is now at its lowest level in seven years.
"A significant reduction in excess inventories
seems well advanced. Consumption and housing expenditures have held
up reasonably well, though activity in these areas has flattened
recently," said a statement
released by the Federal Open Market Committee, which sets interest
rate policy for the broader Fed.
"Investment in capital equipment, however,
has continued to decline. The erosion in current and prospective
profitability, in combination with considerable uncertainty about
the business outlook, seems likely to hold down capital spending
going forward.
"This potential restraint, together with the possible
effects of earlier reductions in equity wealth on consumption and
the risk of slower growth abroad, continues to weigh on the economy."
While FOMC members normally dole out rate cuts at
a leisurely pace, they have been particularly generous to consumers
in 2001. The Fed hasn't lowered rates by 250 basis points, as they
have so far this year, in so short a time during Chairman Alan Greenspan's
14-year tenure. Two of those rate cuts came between regularly scheduled
meetings, too.
Policymakers have said they acted with such haste
and magnitude because the economy weakened sharply at the end of
last year and early this year. They've kept on cutting because things
haven't improved much to date.
But even though employment remains weak and corporate
spending and investment continues to stagnate, consumer spending
hasn't fallen off a cliff. In fact, sales of everything from houses
to clothes have held up in the face of layoffs and plant closings.
That has kept a floor under the economy.
Because the economy hasn't slipped into recession
and appears to have reached a bottom, some market watchers think
the Fed won't continue to cut as aggressively over the next couple
of months as it has the past few.
The next FOMC meeting will be a two-day affair on
June 26 and 27, and officials may cut rates by just 25 basis points.
At the same time, the Fed reiterated a statement that the risk of
further economic weakness outweighs the risk of inflation accelerating.
That means more rate cuts are likely.
No matter what happens, though, interest rates are
probably much nearer to a trough than a peak.
|