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Mutual fund investors who trade too much
pay too much
By Laura
Bruce Bankrate.com
If your retirement plan is full
of mutual funds, you could do yourself a big favor by making two
New Year's resolutions: cut back on trading and learn when it's
right to buy or sell.
A recent study shows that mutual fund investors in
general churn their accounts so much and time it so badly that they
significantly reduce returns, losing an average of 20 percent over
the past decade.
The mutual fund portion of a retirement plan could
experience an even bigger loss.
Experts say it's reasonable to assume that investors
might trade even more frequently in retirement plans because they
don't see a tax consequence and, in the case of 401(k)s, there are
no commissions.
Frequent trading is compounded by a problem familiar
to many investors: buying high and selling low.
Backward investing
Gavin Quill, author of the study and director of research at Boston's
Financial Research Corporation, says that happens because, on average,
people invest too emotionally.
"They buy what was hot yesterday. They buy things
relatively overpriced and avoid the things that are underpriced
or well valued; in other words, the dogs. They're trading by looking
in the rearview mirror. They miss the upside and capture the downside."
Combine a strong tendency to chase overvalued funds
with excessive trading and you end up with a sorry-looking portfolio.
An employee who basically neglects his or her 401(k),
picking several funds and never doing anything but making regular
payroll contributions to the plan, would do better than someone
who chases the hot funds.
Using returns gathered over a three-year period and
extrapolating them out for 25 years, Quill found that a $10,000
investment would grow to $123,000 if an investor stuck with a fund
portfolio throughout the 25 years. That same investment, in the
hands of the typical mutual fund investor in Quill's study who's
trading a lot, buying high and selling low, would grow to only about
$70,000. That's a $53,000 difference come retirement time.
Quill believes the enormous amount of financial information
that's available is a major factor in these bad investing decisions.
"People are chasing the latest CNBC hot tip.
If you didn't have the explosion of financial information, I doubt
you'd have the explosion of rapid turnover trading. We've had a
fundamental shift from value investors who buy low and sell high
to people who say, "I'll buy high and sell higher."
Quill also found that self-directed investors -- people
who don't use a financial adviser -- do worse than mutual fund investors
who consult a professional. That's a problem for most 401(k) participants
because they usually don't get investment advice.
"There's no intermediary to help balance your
emotions, no dispassionate third-party professional to help you
on the right course," says Quill.
A little knowledge is dangerous
Jonathan Sard, a certified financial planner with Atlanta-based
Financial Alternatives, says too many self-directed investors think
they can research the data themselves. In reality, most don't understand
it.
"They log onto a site and do their research,
which may include just seeing what a Goldman Sachs analyst says
about a stock or what Morningstar says about a fund. If they were
to read a prospectus, 99 percent wouldn't know what they were reading.
I don't think people have the time or the inclination to do it if
they're working 8 to 10 hours a day."
Don Schreiber, a certified financial planner with
Wealth Builders Inc., in Little Silver, N.J., says many people fail
to understand what their investments are supposed to do for them.
"They invest on a random basis. They have a few
bucks and plunk it into an investment. They don't know if it will
help their retirement goals. What does the investment have to do?
Does it have to make a 10-percent return?"
So is this just a pitch to hire a financial adviser?
In part, but hiring one simply to do a one-time review of all your
assets, including your retirement plan, should be a consideration.
"It's worth the while of every employee to pay
a fee to a certified financial planner to get some advice on how
to allocate their portfolio," says Robert Veasey, president
of the Rhode Island chapter of the Financial Planning Association.
"I feel for the average employee," says
Veasey. "They're all alone and they're in an environment where
there's a lot of peer pressure. Everyone else is putting money in
this or that."
Schreiber suggests finding a financial planner who
understands your goal is to make sure your 401(k) is allocated correctly.
But be prepared to do some homework. Gather information the planner
will need to do an analysis of your financial situation.
"I would require an understanding of current
income, current expenses, I'd want to get an idea of what they'll
spend in retirement," says Schreiber. "I'd want to know
their savings patterns, their contributions to a 401(k) or an outside
savings plan -- a cash flow analysis."
If you choose to go it alone, you'll have even more
homework to do.
Know thy investment self
Avoiding the pitfalls of trading too often and buying high
and selling low takes discipline, strategy and an understanding
of what makes you tick psychologically when it comes to your portfolio.
The two psychological factors that influence investors
the most are fear and greed.
Investors fear not making money.
"They fear this time is different," says
Veasey. "This is the market that will stay down forever and
I'm the most unlucky investor that's ever lived and I'll be the
first one who's lost money over a 10- to 15-year period."
Greed kicks in when investors buy high thinking the
market will go higher when, in fact, it's likely to begin a downward
cycle. Greed also surfaces when investors refuse to see the downside
and stay invested in a fund that clearly has problems.
Knowing when to sell is one of the most difficult
areas of investing.
"I'd have to see an extended period of proof
-- two cycles of the market -- a major up and down cycle,"
Veasey says. "If the fund does poorly in comparison to its
peer group and to its benchmark, then maybe something's wrong and
it's time to sell."
Whether you go it alone or have an adviser, it's important
to know your investment objectives, your time horizon, your risk
tolerance and the growth rate you'll need from various investments.
All of those factors help determine asset allocation.
When investing for retirement, think long-term. Gavin
Quill says five years is the shortest period that could be considered
long term. It takes discipline to let a fund sit in your portfolio
for that long, but you're more likely to see a bigger return.
Don't try to time the market. If you jump in and out
of the market you'll miss the relatively few best trading days of
each year. Miss out on those days and your returns will be significantly
reduced.
"If you're considering changing investments because
of what the market is doing, ask yourself if anything has changed
in your life. If the answer is no, then why are you making changes,"
asks Jonathan Sard. "When the market is volatile, stay the
course and don't make knee-jerk changes."
Hiring a financial planner for a one-time consultation
on your portfolio is probably the smartest move a self-directed
investor could make. But if that's not for you, another option is
to use your favorite search engine to find financial planning software
that can help with retirement portfolios. Morningstar.com is one
of several sites offering a wide selection of tools to assist you
in determining whether a fund is right for your portfolio.
Get a strategy and stick with it. Don't churn
your account. If a broker churned your account, you'd file a compliant.
Understand your biases and learn to set them aside. A balanced portfolio
that holds investments picked for the right reason will make money
and let you sleep at night.
-- Posted: Dec. 28, 2001
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