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6 signs of a housing recovery |
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Job growth
Job growth is another important factor affecting home values, says Walter Molony, spokesman for the National Association of Realtors.
"If you are in an area with growing population and rising jobs, the picture for you is quite bright," he says. "Around
the country today, that's the common denominator among markets doing well."
For example, underlying strength in the local economy is helping neighborhoods surrounding several cities to produce
solid year-over-year home-sale gains. Such cities include: Salt Lake City; Salem, Ore.; Farmington, N.M.; Beaumont/Port Arthur,
Texas; Spokane, Wash;, Austin, Texas; and Raleigh, N.C.
Markets near Denver and Boston are also "in better shape than before," Molony says.
However, job growth alone does not dictate the direction of residential real estate.
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U.S. housing market trends |
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| Austin, Texas |
Atlanta |
Cleveland |
| Beaumont/Port Arthur, Texas |
Boston |
Detroit |
| Farmington, N.M. |
Denver |
Las Vegas |
| Raleigh, N.C. |
El Paso, Texas |
Miami |
| Salem, Ore. |
Tulsa, Okla. |
Minneapolis |
| Salt Lake City |
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Phoenix |
| Spokane, Wash. |
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San Diego |
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Tampa, Fla. |
"Las Vegas and Miami are oversupplied," Molony says. "Some of those have good fundamentals, but they're in a temporary
situation where they are overbuilt, so that affects prices."
If you live near those cities, particularly in less
desirable towns, it may be a while before home-price appreciation
on your block returns to historic norms.
Sign of recovery No. 2:
Unemployment is low or dropping in your community.
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So, even though local job growth does not always guarantee a strong housing market, it certainly helps. Keep a close eye on
the unemployment rate and other indicators of economic health in your community. The brighter the picture, the more likely it
is that a real estate recovery is on the way.
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