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Dr. Don Taylor, CFA, Bankrate.com advice columnistFinding the best time to refinance

Dear Dr. Don,
Is there a good time of the year to refinance? In other words, do interest rates go down during the summer and up in winter? Are there yearly trends to consider when refinancing?
-- Joseph Judicious

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Dear Joseph,
Refinancing takes a back seat to financing a home purchase, because delaying a refinance is a lot easier than postponing the closing on the sale of a home. With a sale, there are more parties involved and higher costs involved with a delay. So avoiding the summer relocation season can keep your refinancing deal on the lender's front burner.

Lulls in the mortgage market can spell opportunity as lenders offer closing-cost concessions to get loans in the door, but getting the best interest rate you can qualify for will trump a few hundred dollars in concessions every time. Often, the reason there's a lull in the mortgage market isn't because of the season but because rates have headed higher, so waiting for a lull means the rate ship has sailed.

Changes in interest rates are more cyclical than seasonal, so you want to be more aware of the market trends than choosing when to refinance based on the season of the year. The type of mortgage you're considering is also important. Changes in interest rates for fixed-rate loans follow changes in the 10-year U.S. Treasury note, while changes in adjustable-rate mortgages, or ARMs, follow changes in short-term interest rates, most importantly by changes in the targeted federal funds rate.

Short-term mortgage rates have been trending higher because the Federal Reserve Board's Open Market Committee has raised the targeted fed funds rate by one-quarter of a percentage point 14 times since June of 2004. Now that's a trend! In contrast, the 10-year Treasury note has been relatively range-bound, along with long-term mortgage rates, although the trend here also points to higher fixed-rate loans.

To ask a question of Dr. Don, go to the "Ask the Experts" page, and select one of these topics: "financing a home," "saving & investing" or "money."

Bankrate.com's corrections policy -- Posted: March 9, 2006
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