Foreclosure forecast: Few bright spots
There's been good news
and bad news on the national foreclosure scene:
The good news is the number of foreclosure notices
-- 223,651 -- in February 2008 went down 4 percent
from a month earlier. The bad news is those
same filings represent a 60 percent jump from
the filings for the month of February 2007.
By now, everyone knows there is
a foreclosure crisis in this country. How bad
is it, really? It depends on the context. Viewing
the entire country, relatively few Americans
-- approximately two-tenths of 1 percent --
are in foreclosure. That's because more than
half of all Americans don't have mortgages --
mostly renters, people who paid cash and longtime
homeowners who have already paid off their homes.
However, when you zero in on just the homeowners who have mortgages, the picture gets more troubling. The really bad news? Almost everyone agrees the worst is yet to come.
How bad is it? The stark reality is that in some parts of the country, foreclosure rates were higher than home sales.
Figures compiled by the Mortgage
Bankers Association, or MBA, for the National
Delinquency Survey sum up the grim situation:
For the third quarter of 2007, the most recent
MBA survey figures available, the total delinquency
rate is the highest in the MBA survey since
1986. The rate of new foreclosure filings and
the percent of loans in the process of foreclosure
are also at the highest levels ever.
In general, the foreclosure picture is bad everywhere -- but there's bad, and then there's really bad. In the West, things have hit particularly hard.
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In Nevada, approximately one out of every 30 homes was involved in some type of foreclosure action in 2007, according to RealtyTrac figures. |
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Several metro areas of California have the dubious distinction of earning spots on the Top 10 list of foreclosures. |
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In Detroit, where massive layoffs have hit hard, foreclosure and unemployment go hand-in-hand: People who lose their jobs are much more likely to end up losing their homes. Not surprisingly, in many cities, the foreclosure rate and unemployment rates are moving at similar levels. |
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Posted: April 14, 2008 |
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