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Preparation and patience are essential in this
busy mortgage market
By Michael
D. Larson Bankrate.com
Until early January, finding a great mortgage
was like shooting fish in a barrel. Rates were plummeting weekly,
and lenders weren't that busy because many potential borrowers (especially
those who don't visit certain Web sites frequently enough!) didn't
know a rally was under way.
Now, the situation is different.
Mortgage rates seem to have stabilized, and
for the past few weeks they've been bouncing up and down around
7 percent. That's because the bond market, which was ambushed by
the dramatic economic slowdown at the end of 2000, has adjusted
to reflect slower economic activity. The Federal Reserve Board's
aggressive interest rate cuts have prompted some investors to bet
an economic rebound is right around the corner, too. They have pulled
money out of bonds and put it into stocks. That hurts mortgage rates,
which generally rise when demand for bonds slackens.
At the same time, people unaware that Fed cuts
don't necessarily impact mortgage rates (and this is a large percentage
of the population, based on some of the feedback I've been getting)
started flooding lender phone lines on Jan. 3 when the Fed surprised
the world by slashing rates. That deluge has continued ever since,
catching lenders, who until recently were firing workers amid a
demand slowdown, off guard.
So not only have rates stopped plummeting, but
loan-processing times have increased. Mortgage hunters should adjust
to this new reality in two ways.
One, realize that rates may not drop as low
as they did in October 1998. Thirty-year mortgages dipped below
6.5 percent at the time, but they may not plumb those depths again
because of the recent Fed moves and the Bush administration's push
for drastic tax cuts. Both have boosted investor optimism about
economic growth in the months ahead, effectively putting a "floor"
under interest rates that will only give way if the outlook deteriorates
further.
Secondly, expect hassles and problems at the
lender's office, and adjust your shopping strategy accordingly.
House hunters should get pre-approved rather than just pre-qualified
for a mortgage before venturing online to find their perfect home,
for example. A lender formally assesses a borrower's credit, income
and debts in a pre-approval, rather than just informally reviews
them the way it does in a pre-qualification. As a result, pre-approved
borrowers are much further along in the loan processing food chain.
That lessens the chance they'll face lengthy closing delays and
lose the house of their dreams to a buyer who already has a mortgage
lined up.
Consumers may also want to consider locking
their rates for a longer period. While it's true borrowers
can get better rates when they choose shorter lock periods of, say,
15 days rather than 60, doing so could leave them exposed to the
whims of the interest rate market if lender-processing delays make
it take longer than two weeks to close. Rates aren't expected to
rise much, if at all, in the foreseeable future, so the risk of
that happening is small, but it remains a possibility.
Good luck.
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