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Knowing your risk and time horizons key to picking
fixed income
By
Jim Middlemiss Bankrate.com
When it comes to choosing the right savings product,
it's not a case of one-size-fits-all, says Julie Sheen, vice president,
term investments, at the Bank of Montreal in Toronto.
It boils down to "when do you need the money"
and defining how much risk you are willing to take on, which is
often a function of where investors are in their life cycle, she
says. Do they need the money to live on? Are they saving it for
a specific reason, such as to buy a car, a short-term prospect?
Or, is it for retirement 20 years down the road?
Fixed-income products, though considered safer than
equities, now come in different styles and sophistication that introduces
a range of volatility, Sheen notes, so investors must set out the
objective for the savings in order to determine the best product
and understand how much risk they are willing to take on.
Know your risk profile
Adrian Mastracci, a fee-only financial adviser at KCM Wealth Management
Inc. in Vancouver, adds that "risk is relative to everyone's
personal experience" and there are three factors to consider.
The first, he says, is the "ability to take the
risks," which relates to the investor's time horizon and available
capital. If you're in late retirement and need the money to live
on tying it up in a 10-year bond is not the best solution.
Second, is the "willingness to take the risks,
which is associated with the investor profile." This is where
investors must take a gut check and determine how much loss they
can stomach, if any at all.
Last, he says, is the "need to take risks, which
is associated with the investment rate of return needed to achieve
and maintain personal goals." The answers to these three questions
should drive the investment selection, he says. But the problem
is most investors fail to consider them or don't accurately assess
their tolerance or needs.
With interest rates at historical lows, investors
shopping for savings products will find the payback is not that
attractive. Fortunately, the prospect of interest rates going down
much further is low. However, that means those who lock up their
money now could miss out on more lucrative returns as rates start
rising.
When it comes to fixed-income products, investors
need to remember that the safer the investment and the lower the
risk, the lower the return. Moreover, as interest rates go up, the
price of existing bonds will decline. So what are your options and
which product best suits your needs?
Canada Savings Bonds: These bonds are backed
by the federal government, making them one of the most secure investments,
since the prospects of the federal government going bankrupt are
remote. As such, investors plunking their money down here are likely
"extremely conservative" and have a time horizon of more
than one year. The best thing is that "your principal won't
go up and down," says Sheen.
Mastracci agrees that CSBs "suit somebody who
is the guaranteed type." However, he says CSBs are not the
great tool they used to be, and for short-term investors, he recommends
alternatives such as T-bills.
Canada Premium Bonds: Similar to CSBs, Premium
Bonds are best geared to ultra-conservative investors who have a
longer time horizon for their investment. That's because the bonds
have less flexibility in terms of when they may be cashed in. But,
in exchange, they offer a better interest rate.
Real Return Bonds: Another form of CSB, Real
Return Bonds appeal most to conservative investors who fear a return
of inflation. Mastracci says the downside is there are a limited
number of products and to get the maximum benefit of the bonds,
they must be held for long periods of time, from a minimum of 10
years to 30 years or more.
Guaranteed investment certificates: The basic
GIC is a safe, secure investment designed for conservative investors
who want to park money for between one and five years However, Jim
Porter, executive vice president of HSBC Securities in Toronto,
says the "returns aren't particularly thrilling, especially
in the longer-term historical context."
Some banks have created GICs linked to stock indexes
that have greater upside. However, these provide exposure to the
equity market, so investors must be willing to take on some risk,
says Sheen. As well, because the return is linked to stock market
performance, Sheen says they're not for short-term investors. You
need a five-year or longer horizon. But given the blue-chip nature
of the markets they link to and the "high quality stocks, they
start to make a bit of sense. The big question is how much do you
have to invest and when do you need it. If you have a considerable
portfolio then I would probably look at it."
Mastracci disagrees, preferring to keep investments
pure. "I would skip the equity-linked GICs. In my view, they're
neither fish nor fowl. If an investor wishes to have a foothold
in the marketplace, then do so with the appropriate equity vehicle."
T-bills: Of all the savings vehicles, Mastracci
favors this one for investors looking to put money away for the
short term. "Only use them for short term, up to one year."
They're good for saving money to buy big-ticket items or for down
payments on property because they can held for weeks or months,
as opposed to years.
Corporate bonds: Mastracci says corporate bonds
provide a better return than government bonds, but there is more
risk to holding them, so investors must be willing to face losses
in exchange for a better return. The trick to corporate bonds, he
says, is "try not to buy something at premium." Investors
want to buy the bond as close to par as possible. Otherwise, if
they buy it above par and hold to maturity, they will face a capital
loss.
He adds that if you are sitting on a pile of money
with the expectation that interest rates will rise, the worst thing
you can do is "place the money in short-term instruments, that
is under one year, while waiting for the interest rate to increase."
That's because you could miss the rising tide. A better idea, he
says, is to build a bond ladder.
"My suggestion is go to with a three-, four-
or five-year bond ladder. That way the investor has between 20 to
25 per cent of their fixed-income portfolio coming due every year,
which can then be invested at the prevailing rates."
Jim Middlemiss is a freelance
writer and lawyer based in Toronto. He's a frequent contributor
to National Post, Investment Executive and Wall Street and Technology.
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