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-- Posted: Nov. 2, 1999

Dorothy Rosen -- The Dollar Diva Ask the Dollar Diva

Can I save just a little and retire like royalty?

Dear Dollar Diva,
Reading books on managing personal finance and becoming debt-free has really helped us improve our financial situation. We are now ready to save for retirement, and one of the books suggests that a 25-year-old person investing about $90 a month at 15 percent interest will have $3 million in 40 years.

So how do we invest $90 monthly at 15 percent interest? Is such a scenario really possible? What would be the most risk-free way to make such an investment? My spouse and I make $60,000 combined annually, we have only a checking account and a savings account, and we know absolutely nothing about investing.

Thanks in advance for your advice.


The Diva congratulates you on your early start in the investment game.

Diva reminder

If you invest in a Roth, none of your distributions will be taxed when you retire.

The Good News

Keep on doing what you're doing -- learning and saving -- and the Diva expects you to be in excellent financial shape when you retire.

The Bad News

Don't expect a 15 percent after-tax return on any investment year after year. Warren Buffet, Peter Lynch and very few other investment gods can aspire to such lofty returns -- mere mortals cannot.

Reality Check
The market has returned an average of 10 percent to 12 percent annually over the past 40 years. The Diva thinks it's reasonable to expect a similar return over the next 40 years, but read on.
You are investing long-term and the market fluctuates. The past 15 years have been exceptionally good for investors with the past five years providing annual returns more than twice the 40-year average. The Diva thinks it's realistic to expect some low-return years to follow these exceptionally high-return years.
Keep to your program of systematic investing.

Reality

A 10 percent to 11 percent average annual return is a realistic expectation over the next 40 years, especially if you take advantage of the tax benefits offered by a Roth IRA, 401(k) or other retirement plan.

Let's say you invest $200 a month in a Roth. Your total investment will be $96,000 over the 40-year period. How much in interest, dividends and capital gains (earnings) will you shelter from taxes?

Changing the amount you invest will, of course, change the amount you earn. But any way you slice it, long-term compounding is a beautiful thing.

How much you'll have in 40 years if your investments earn...

Now you know why the Diva touts the Roth IRA!

What should you invest in?

When you're clueless or when you don't have the time or inclination to do the work necessary to manage an investment portfolio, no-load index funds are the way to go. Vanguard is the 800-pound gorilla, but any reputable investment company that offers returns close to the S&P500 index will do. The Diva recommends starting with:

Balanced index fund (Moderate risk). Made up of stocks and bonds. The goal is for income and capital appreciation.

Growth index fund (Higher risk). Made up of domestic stocks. The goal is for long-term growth of capital.

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See Also
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