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San Francisco.
With a median home price of nearly $720,000 at the end
of 2005, according to the NAR, San Francisco remains
one of the country's most expensive cities to live in,
outpacing even Honolulu and New York City. Housing prices
are unlikely to decline because of short supply -- surrounded
by hills and its famed bay -- there's just nowhere else
to build anything less expensive in the city. But realistically,
there aren't that many people who can afford to buy
at those prices, which should keep prices from going
much higher.
Detroit. Detroit
hasn't been on anyone's list of hot markets for a long
time. In the most recent report from the NAR, The Motor
City was one of only six metro markets in the country
to show a decline in housing appreciation in the past
year, with prices down about a half percent. It's a
trend that Local Market Monitor has been tracking since
2001; annual price increases have dropped from 7 percent
that year to just 2 percent in 2005. Fortune doesn't
predict any better performance in the market through
2007. John Burns Real Estate Consulting actually gives
the Detroit market its worst possible grade, an F, based
largely on a large loss of jobs and the highest unemployment
rate of any metro market in the state.
Minneapolis.
Minneapolis made our list for a couple of reasons. In
a year when the majority of metro markets showed double-digit
increases in appreciation, it barely surpassed the rate
of inflation, according to the NAR. And for the next
two years, the prediction is that appreciation won't
even see the left side of a decimal point.
Baltimore.
Like its pricier neighbor to the south, Washington,
D.C., Baltimore has seen double-digit increases in appreciation
in recent years. But several reports indicate the market
is overpriced compared to its history. Local Market
Monitor indicates that prices are overvalued by 17 percent;
Fortune's number crunchers forecast a slight increase
in values for this year, followed by a small drop-off
in 2007, perhaps signaling that prices have leveled
off.
Denver. Gollis
has been big on Denver for some time, seeing it as a
market that went through a rough time --
it lost thousands of telecom jobs a few years back --
but it is returning to a level state. The market has
caught the attention of national builders in recent
years, there is major construction under way and the
Stapleton Airport redevelopment is one of the largest
projects of its kind in the nation. Yet the NAR reports
that in a year when the vast majority of markets showed
double-digit increases in appreciation, Denver's rate
was 4.4 percent, and Local Market Monitor reports that
it hasn't been above 5 percent since 2001. The good
folks at Fortune predict that for the next couple of
years, Denver's rate of appreciation won't see half
that number.
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