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Rate Trend Index
Each week, Bankrate.com surveys mortgage experts to gauge the state of mortgage rates over the next 30 to 45 days: Will rates rise, fall or remain relatively unchanged?
  This week (Dec. 18 - Dec. 24) the experts say: Ordinarily when a majority of experts expect no change in mortgage rates, we'd recommend you float your rate lock. However, this week it's too close to call. No one expects rates to drop -- a change from last week when 20 percent predicted rates would fall -- and 43 percent expect rates to rise, which would argue for locking.
  PANEL:  
Down: 0%
Up: 43% Unchanged: 57%
Fifty-seven percent of our panelists believe that mortgage rates will remain about the same (plus or minus 2 basis points) over the next 30 to 45 days. The rest believe rates will rise.
Graph the trend for mortgages
Archive of Rate Trend Index columns
 
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EXPERT'S COMMENTS:
"No inflation, no inflation. No job growth, no job growth. No inflation, no job growth -- no rise in rates. Until we get on real solid ground, look for everything to start going sideways."
-- Todd Brown, executive vice president, Pinnacle Financial, Melville, N.Y.
RATE VOTE: Unchanged

"Mortgage rates are certainly ready for the holidays. After a trip to Target last night, I now know where everyone is! I expect rates to decline between now and the end of the holiday season, but not by 2 basis points."
-- Ray Champion, president, Pro Mortgage Corporation, Dallas
RATE VOTE: Unchanged

• Ready to buy? Save money by using our mortgage rate search tables to find the best deal.

BANKRATE'S ANALYSTS:
"This poll gauges the direction of mortgage rates over the next 30-45 days, a period that encompasses a full cycle of economic data and the next Fed meeting. With continued economic progress, mortgage rates are more likely to be above 6 percent, rather than below, by then."
-- Greg McBride, financial analyst, Bankrate.com
RATE VOTE: Up

"Mortgage rates have their comfort zone, and that zone is right around 6 percent, give or take 10 basis points."
-- Holden Lewis, senior reporter, Bankrate.com
RATE VOTE: Up

................................

About the Bankrate.com Rate Trend Index

 

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15 yr fixed mtg 4.53%
5/1 ARM 4.06%
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