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Rate Trend Index
Each week, Bankrate.com surveys mortgage experts to gauge the state of mortgage rates over the next 30 to 45 days: Will rates rise, fall or remain relatively unchanged?
Don't lock in This week (Sept. 25 - Sept. 30) the experts say: Lock on the dips, such as the one we're seeing now. Though half the panel says rates will stay about the same, more believe they're heading up in the long run than dropping.
  PANEL:  
Down: 20%
Up: 30% Unchanged: 50%
Half the panelists predict that rates will stay about the same (plus or minus 2 basis points) over the next 30 to 45 days, but 30 percent predict an increase in that time. Just 20 percent -- down from 36 percent last week -- see rates dropping further.
Graph the trend for mortgages
Archive of Rate Trend Index columns
 
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EXPERT'S COMMENTS:
"Unusual foreign exchange pressure on the U.S. dollar is adding uncertainty to equity markets. This adds support to maintaining the lowest mortgage interest rates since last spring."
-- Neil Cribb, president, Mortgage Financial Network, Safety Harbor, Fla.
RATE VOTE: Unchanged
"Rates could be choppy in the coming weeks as bonds will take their cues off of stocks. Historically, this is a volatile time for the financial markets. I don't expect much overall change, but the ride could be a thriller."
-- Jason P. Flurry, CFP, LPL Financial, Planmark Capital Management, LLC, Alpharetta, Ga.
RATE VOTE: Unchanged
BANKRATE'S ANALYSTS:
"Consistent economic improvement, ballooning federal budget deficits, and concern about the declining dollar are all bad news for bonds. Bond yields and mortgage rates still seem unsustainably low, and a quick jump seems inevitable. The timing, however, is unpredictable."
-- Greg McBride, financial analyst, Bankrate.com
RATE VOTE: Up

"Despite shaky evidence, I believe that the economy is expanding. Rates will have their ups and downs, but the long-term trend is upward."
-- Holden Lewis, senior reporter, Bankrate.com
RATE VOTE: Up

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About the Bankrate.com Rate Trend Index

 

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