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Rate Trend Index
Each week, Bankrate.com surveys mortgage experts to gauge the state of mortgage rates over the next 30 to 45 days: Will rates rise, fall or remain relatively unchanged?
Don't lock in This week (Sept. 18 - Sept. 24) the experts say: Rates are more likely to drop or remain unchanged than to rise.
  PANEL:  
Down: 36%
Up: 28% Unchanged: 36%
Thirty-six percent of panelists predict that rates will drop over the next 30 to 45 days, and another 36 percent think rates will stay about the same (plus or minus 2 basis points). The rest believe that rates will rise.
Graph the trend for mortgages
Archive of Rate Trend Index columns
 
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EXPERT'S COMMENTS:
"No action by the Fed and bonds are looking stronger. Maybe rates will come down."
-- Jim Bradley, president, American Residential Lending, Atlanta
RATE VOTE: Down
"Has everyone forgotten that unemployment is still very high? With no new jobs in the near future, rates might dip lower."
-- Todd Brown, executive vice president, Pinnacle Financial, Melville, N.Y.
RATE VOTE: Unchanged
"Rates still need to cool off a bit. I don't expect any major moves, I would look to take advantage of the ebb and flow rates offer over the next several weeks. We've probably seen the best, but at these levels good deals can still be found."
-- Jason P. Flurry, CFP, LPL Financial, Planmark Capital Management, LLC, Alpharetta, Ga.
RATE VOTE: Down
BANKRATE'S ANALYSTS:
"Consistent economic improvement, ballooning federal budget deficits, and concern about the declining dollar are all bad news for bonds. Bond yields and mortgage rates still seem unsustainably low, and a quick jump seems inevitable. The timing, however, is unpredictable."
-- Greg McBride, financial analyst, Bankrate.com
RATE VOTE: Up

"Despite shaky evidence, I believe that the economy is expanding. Rates will have their ups and downs, but the long-term trend is upward."
-- Holden Lewis, senior reporter, Bankrate.com
RATE VOTE: Up

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