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Rate Trend Index
Each week, Bankrate.com surveys mortgage experts to gauge the state of mortgage rates over the next 30 to 45 days: Will rates rise, fall or remain relatively unchanged?
Don't lock in This week (Aug. 21 to Aug. 27) there is no consensus from the experts on the direction of mortgage rates, except that much hinges on upcoming economic reports. Good economic news will be bad for rates. Watch the rates closely, and lock on the dips.
  PANEL:  
Down: 36%
Up: 36% Unchanged: 28%
Our mortgage experts are evenly divided on whether rates will go up or down over the next 30 to 45 days, with each side of that argument gathering 36 percent of the vote. The other 28 percent are think rates will stay about the same (plus or minus 2 basis points).
Graph the trend for mortgages
Archive of Rate Trend Index columns
 
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EXPERT'S COMMENTS:
"Rates have risen quickly in the past month. I feel like a little correction is in order. My outlook is for rates to come down some in the next few weeks and then trend slowly higher into next year. Economic news will continue to be the catalyst for change, but don't expect to see the lows again in this cycle."
-- Jason P. Flurry, CFP, LPL Financial, Planmark Capital Management, LLC, Alpharetta, Ga.
downRATE VOTE: Down
"We are looking for a slight increase in mortgage rates over the next 45 days as assets continue their shift into equities."
-- John K. Bacci, Foundation Financial Advisors Inc., Linthicum, Md.
RATE VOTE: Up

• Ready to buy? Save money by using our mortgage rate search tables to find the best deal.

BANKRATE'S ANALYSTS:
"Mortgage rates continue to fluctuate within an established range, with 10-year Treasury yields staying between 4.3 percent and 4.6 percent. External factors such as fears of terrorism are a permanent asterisk to any forecast, but strengthening economic fundamentals will begin to push rates higher."
-- Greg McBride, financial analyst, Bankrate.com
RATE VOTE: Up

"Mortgage rates are rising like a tide, and you can't push back the tide."
-- Holden Lewis, senior reporter, Bankrate.com
RATE VOTE: Up

................................

About the Bankrate.com Rate Trend Index

 

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NATIONAL OVERNIGHT AVERAGES
30 yr fixed mtg 4.97%
15 yr fixed mtg 4.53%
5/1 ARM 4.22%
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