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Rate Trend Index
Each week, Bankrate.com surveys mortgage experts to gauge the state of mortgage rates over the next 30 to 45 days: Will rates rise, fall or remain relatively unchanged?
Don't lock in This week (Aug. 7 to Aug. 13) the experts say: This rate jump will not stand.
  PANEL:  
Down: 50%
Up: 33% Unchanged: 17%
Half of our mortgage experts expect rates to drop over the next 30 to 45 days. One-third think rates will rise. The rest predict that rates will stay about the same (plus or minus 2 basis points).
Graph the trend for mortgages
Archive of Rate Trend Index columns
 
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EXPERT'S COMMENTS:
"Right on cue, rates jumped with the hint of a stronger economy. The movement was predicted, but I think it has gone too far too soon. Rates will most likely drop a little over the next couple of weeks, or at least level off for a while. Unfortunately for those on the fence, the outlook is not as clear as in the past. I do believe we have already seen the lows for this cycle, but the ebb and flow of change will still offer opportunities for some along the way."
-- Jason P. Flurry, CFP, LPL Financial, Planmark Capital Management, LLC, Alpharetta, Ga.
RATE VOTE: Down
"Rates may return to near historical lows over the next two months due to disappointing economic news."
-- Neil Cribb, president, Mortgage Financial Network, Safety Harbor, Fla.
RATE VOTE: Down
"Mortgage rates will rise nationally by 5 to 10 basis points over the next six weeks."
-- John K. Bacci, Foundation Financial Advisors Inc., Linthicum, Md.
RATE VOTE: Up
BANKRATE'S ANALYSTS:
"The past week has marked the beginning of a more moderate trend toward higher rates. The economic calendar is very light leading up to Tuesday's Fed meeting, but rates may be influenced by a large Treasury auction. Rates could suddenly jump like a spooked horse, so lock on any dips or periods of rate stability."
-- Greg McBride, financial analyst, Bankrate.com
RATE VOTE: Up

"Mortgage rates have hit an equilibrium point and will move within a fairly narrow range for a while. They're more likely to rise than fall, if only because they've been rising since June."
-- Holden Lewis, senior reporter, Bankrate.com
RATE VOTE: Up

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