Investor
demand drives mortgage prices
By Michael D. Larson
Bankrate.com
Just what exactly goes into a mortgage rate?
Chances are most people don't really know or care -- as long as
the price is right.
With the old days of mortgage banking gone,
however, it's more important than ever for people to understand
that rates no longer move according to the whims of some loan officer
upstairs. The so-called "secondary market" -- where mortgages are
bundled together and traded as single securities -- rules in the
1990s, and it is the ultimate force that guides rates up or down.
Here, in a nutshell, is how it works:
Investors call
the shots
"Right now, we're lending a 30-year fixed at around 6.75 [percent],"
says Jeff Rousseau, senior vice president for mortgage banking at
Hibernia Corp. of New Orleans. "In determining those rates, I have
a screen from Wall Street that shows me what securities would trade
for.
"It's based upon what the investor requires."
The key to understanding the process lies in
understanding the way a mortgage dollar makes its way through the
system.
Banks
do the numbers
For starters, consider how a bank gets its money. There are plenty
of avenues, including overnight loans from Federal Reserve banks
and fees charged to depositors. The price of those sources determines
the bank's "cost of funds." From that base, a bank will extend loans
at various rates that allow for a reasonable "spread," or profit
margin.
When it comes to mortgages, however, lenders
typically sell the loans that they make into the secondary market.
That means they don't calculate borrowers' rates by simply adding
a margin to their costs. Instead, they look at what secondary buyers
are willing to pay, and set rates that are high enough to provide
a profit for both lender and secondary buyer.
The
secondary market
The secondary market works in the following way: Individual investors
want to own mutual funds that earn them a decent amount of money.
They buy these funds from companies that want to balance the stock
portion of their portfolios with bonds, which are generally lower
risk. Those companies turn to sellers of such securities, including
Wall Street investment firms like Merrill Lynch & Co., in order
to beef up their holdings.
Merrill Lynch and the others, in turn, want
to offer something that promises higher yields than Treasuries but
provides steady income. As a result, many turn to "mortgage-backed
securities" -- debt instruments that consist of several loans bundled
together and that are designed to yield income for years in the
form of monthly mortgage payments.
In order to make the process work, however,
fund managers and the like require some sort of guarantee that the
loans are up to proper credit standards and other underwriting guidelines.
For that assurance, they often require that lenders deal with the
Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp. or the Federal National Mortgage
Association, commonly referred to as Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae.
These quasi-governmental corporations will either buy a lender's
loan and bundle it with others, or review the loan to make sure
it conforms with their standards, and give it a passing grade.
"What's so cool about it -- the role of Fannie
and Freddie -- is they've taken that mortgage from all these different
little cities, and once they've put that stamp of approval on it,
then they've made that where any investor in the country can buy
a mortgage-backed security backed by any loan in the country," says
Denis St. Marie, president of KeyCorp.'s mortgage services unit.
"The whole role of Fannie and Freddie is to spread out the money."
Profits
divided
Each party profits by taking a cut along the way. Say a 30-year-fixed
mortgage was issued to a borrower at 7 percent. The lender would
either sell the loan to Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac at 6.75 percent,
or obtain one of the agency's guarantees. The 0.25 percent difference
would be the lender's fee for collecting payments and otherwise
"servicing" the loan.
Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, meanwhile, would
take 0.25 percent for guaranteeing the loan, or for packaging it
with others and selling it to an investment company. That would
leave the investor with a security that returns 6.50 percent.
Estimating
your cost
So how does a borrower get an accurate estimate of what the mortgage
will cost?
Most experts say that mortgage rates follow
Treasury yields, and they do tend to move in tandem. But those yields
have no direct impact on mortgage rates. Instead, people should
look at the 30-day and 60-day commitment rates found in the money
rates section of a newspaper's financial pages.
Without getting too technical, those rates are
the net yields required by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. That means
lenders must deliver loans to the agencies at those rates in order
to be fully reimbursed, says Dorian Bomberger, a trader in Freddie
Mac's mortgage finance department. The time frame is the number
of days the lender has to finish the transaction.
By adding 0.25 percent for the lender's servicing
fee to these commitment rates, customers arrive at a much more accurate
retail rate forecast than they would get by scanning Treasury yields.
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