Experts:
Convert those ARMs now
By Michael D. Larson
Bankrate.com
Attention
mortgage holders: Now is the time to say goodbye to the adjustable
rate.
Thanks to low interest rates and inflation-free
economic growth -- two trends economists expect will continue for
the near future -- borrowers would be well-advised to lock in 30
years of low payments with a fixed-rate product rather than stick
with their adjustable-rate mortgages, experts say.
"Mortgage rates have been pretty stable near
the low 7's (percent) and there's nothing going on suggesting that
will change," says Robert Van Order, chief economist at Freddie
Mac. "People should think about switching."
Different types
of ARMs
Adjustable-rate mortgages, or ARMs, emerged as a tool for
consumers to get lower rates than those available through traditional,
fixed-rate loans during the inflation heyday of the early 1980s.
ARMs give a borrower a lower initial interest rate in exchange for
sharing some of the lender's risk that rates will rise.
There are several varieties of ARMs. The difference
between them is how long their rates are initially set and the formulas
used to raise or lower the rates. Some offer fixed rates for one,
three or five years, for example, then adjust to reflect the current
market rate.
The most common index for ARM adjustments is
the one-year U.S. Treasury bill. The one-year bill has a yield very
near that offered by the 30-year Treasury bond, which is used to
set rates on 30-year fixed mortgages. That has helped lessen the
gap between ARMs and fixed mortgages, making the fixed loan a better
deal, since the risk that rates will rise overshadows the ARM's
benefit: A slightly lower initial rate.
Comparing rates
In recent trading, the one-year Treasury yielded around
5.4 percent while the 30-year Treasury yielded slightly less than
5.7 percent. As a result, one-year ARMs carried an average rate
of 5.7 percent, according to the most recent Bank Rate Monitor survey,
while 30-year fixed mortgages hovered around 6.87 percent.
"ARMs certainly do provide a safety valve when
rates start going up again, but shoot, if you can get a 30-year
fixed at 7 percent, you might as well do it," says Michelle Hamecs,
director of market analysis in the National Association of Home
Builders' mortgage finance department. "That's my personal opinion."
But, because good deals can be found in today's
competitive mortgage environment, people may want to consider getting
an ARM with a short initial fixed period, such as a one-year, and
refinancing it at the end of the term.
"Some lenders are giving big discounts on the
first-year rate," Van Order says. "People should phone around to
find out because there may be someone offering something under 5
percent."
Watch out for
fees
Refinancing will still cost the average consumer about
2 percent to 3 percent of the total loan value in closing costs,
either paid up front or tacked onto the new mortgage, according
to David Keeling, a senior vice president in NationsBank Corp.'s
TeleMortgage group. However, some lenders will waive the costs if
a customer is willing to accept a higher rate, he says.
Even better for customers wary of fees is the
conversion option written into some ARMs. With it, borrowers can
usually switch to a fixed rate after each yearly rate adjustment
until the fifth year of the mortgage, at a cost of $250 to $600,
Keeling says. Those converting ARMs may get a higher fixed rate
of interest than those seeking traditional refinancing.
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