Protecting your nest egg in a recession |
| By Laura Bruce Bankrate.com |
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Anyone nearing retirement is old enough to remember the recession of 2001.
While the experts were debating whether the country
really was in a recession -- and if so, when it would bottom out
and when the recovery would start -- your portfolio was probably
losing value.
It's rotten enough to see your nest egg decimated
when you have 10, 20 or more years for it to recover.
But millions of Americans on the cusp of retirement experienced the devastating effect of a recession on their portfolios just prior to, or shortly into, their retirements.
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9 tips from the experts: |
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Now, six years later, the news is peppered with stories
of a slowing economy and talk of a possible recession. If retirement
is in your near future, or even if it's years off, consider taking
steps to protect your assets against a potential downdraft in the
stock market.
We spoke with two money managers, Dean Barber, of Lenexa,
Kan., and Alan Lancz, of Toledo, Ohio, who talk about what they're
doing for their clients.
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Where to invest now: |
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Dean Barber, Lenexa, Kan.: "Late 2008 is when the real pain will start." Read more ... |
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Alan B. Lancz, Toledo, Ohio: "Buy and hold is becoming outdated."
Read
more ... |
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In his own words: Dean Barber
The main thing people have to understand is that there is a lot of risk in our market. People get a false sense of security when the market has been up for quite some time that, this time, it's going to be different. There really is risk in the market and unless people have a well-thought-out plan, there's no way they can protect themselves.
So the first thing that has to happen is they have to have a written plan; they have to know how market fluctuations will affect them. They have to know what percentage of their money they can afford to lose before they have to get out. Most people don't know where their breaking point is. They don't know how it affects their ability to retire or how it affects their overall plan because they don't have a written plan.
Most people invest for what we call an absolute rate of return, which is looking at how much money can they make without regard to how much risk they are actually taking in order to gain that return. In their plan they should know what kind of risk-adjusted return they need. How much risk do they need to take in order to get to the return that they need to accomplish their written objectives?
Get ready for a downturn
There's no question that there's some sort of downturn on the horizon. You can't see a market that goes up for five years in a row like we've seen without some sort of substantial downturn. We think by late 2008 is when the real pain will start.
I believe that any time you're in the position like
we are today, that you must have defensive strategies in place to
help protect you from a potential market downturn. Those defensive
strategies can be things like the put
protection
put protection An option contract that gives the holder the right to sell a certain quantity of an underlying security to the writer of the option, at a specified price (strike price) up to a specified date (expiration date); also called a put option. (Source: InvestorWords.com)
that Clark Capital uses, or inverse funds, such as the ones at Rydex, Profunds or Prudent Bear, for a portion of the portfolio.
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