High-yield savers will feel the Fed pinch |
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"We're studying the market now and shortly we'll look at our position, but we won't dash into it. We would expect to see several cuts of the apple. It could come as early as tomorrow or we may wait. It depends on where the market goes and where the underlying asset rates are as well," Trotter says.
How low will they go?
How low will high-yield CDs and money markets go? E-Loan president
Mark Lefanowicz says he expects them to end up pretty close to the
federal funds target rate, which is 4.75 percent.
"We have some anomalies in the market, but when
the fed funds rate was at 5.25 percent you had us at 5.25, E*Trade
at 5.05 and Citi at 5.10 over time. I think the customer can expect
to see something around fed funds if not slightly better than fed
funds. Ultimately, I can't imagine how the Citis and the E*Trades
and all of us can stay above 5 percent, based on what the Fed just
did, although I can't predict what the more mortgage-related Countrywide
or IndyMac will be at."
What about another cut?
It could well be that rates will have just about settled at their new level when the Fed meets again in late October. Another rate cut would, of course, start the process anew and dishearten savers.
"When things get put into motion you have to
look for a trend," says Roy Guthrie, chief financial officer
at Discover Financial Services. "We have a 50 basis point drop
in the fed funds rate. Is there a trend here? Is 50 going to 75
or is this a one-off? A lot of what happens with rates will be determined
by whether we come to a rest or whether deposit rates are continually
chasing an ever-rising or ever-falling targeted institutional short-term
money market rate."
Some savers, with fatter savings accounts than are
necessary, may decide to deploy some of that money in the stock
market in an effort to boost overall portfolio returns. But for
the balance that must stay in a fixed income account for whatever
reason, the "shop around" mantra remains the best advice.
If you can lock up the money for a period of time, look for the
highest yielding CDs and buy the longest maturity possible.
Institutions will still compete for deposits and customer relationships.
One way to find some of the best yields across the nation is by
visiting Bankrate's high-yield
database for CDs.
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