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What in the world
is a junk bond?
By David
Snow Bankrate.com
Say you're approached by three people asking to borrow
$1,000. The first is a respected doctor living in your neighborhood.
He owns a large house and has a high-paying job. The second, a mild-mannered
schoolteacher who owns a smaller house but has a stable job. The
third is a friend of a friend who says he's a performance artist,
rents an apartment near the train station and swears he'll pay you
back once that dude from his support group sends him a check for
all the yard work he did.
If you lend money to the third person, that's sort
of like buying a junk bond.
With each potential borrower, there is a different
likelihood that you'll get your money back. The respectable doctor
most certainly will pay you back. The teacher probably will, too,
although chances are greater that he may struggle to do so. The
performance artist with no discernable income is the most likely
of the three to say, "Dude, my uncle needs bail money. I can't pay
you back."
The world of corporate lending is a lot like the scenario
described above. Instead of asking you for the money directly, though,
companies take out loans by issuing bonds. The corporation gets
the money it needs up front and pays back the bondholder in regular
installments. In order to issue bonds, a company's credit risk must
be rated. Just as that doctor in the nice house would probably have
a better chance of getting a loan than the performance artist, different
companies have different odds of paying back what they borrow.
Similar to the credit reports lenders check out to
determine the risk posed when loaning money to individuals, corporations
get what are called credit ratings. Rating agencies like Moody's
and Standard & Poor's make it their job to predict which companies
are most likely to make their payments on time and which are not.
If, for instance, Standard & Poor's decides a
company is rock-solid and will have no problem servicing its debt,
it gives a bond issued by that company its highest rating -- AAA
(that'd be Aaa in the Moody's lexicon). If the bond is slightly
less than rock-solid, it gets a AA (or Aa) and it goes down from
there to A, then BBB (or Baa from Moody's). The next step is BB
(or Ba). and bonds with this rating or lower are considered "speculative
grade" or "below investment grade" -- in other words, a junk bond.
Junk bonds are those that the experts feel have a
higher than average chance of defaulting. In good economic times,
default rates can be as low as 2 percent. These days, with an uncertain
future for the U.S. economy, some junk bond experts are predicting
default rates as high as 9 percent.
Why would anyone ever invest in the likelihood of
not getting paid back? Simple. Money. Since junk bonds are
riskier, the amount of annual interest they pay -- what's known
in bondspeak as a coupon -- is higher. A bond with a AAA rating
might pay 7 percent per year, while a junk bond could pay as much
as 13 percent. This points to the root of the more politically correct
name for junk bonds -- high-yield bonds -- since, you guessed it,
the yields on junk bonds are higher.
In the 1980s, the investment bank Drexel Burnham Lambert
virtually invented the modern junk bond market. The firm's West-Coast
chief was a self-made multi-millionaire named Michael Milken, who
was hailed as the king of junk bonds and an enabler of corporate
raiders. Milken was later charged with securities fraud and Drexel
Burnham folded. The outstanding Drexel Burnham high-yield bonds,
which largely had been invested in by Savings & Loan institutions,
went South and sparked the S&L crisis of the late '80s, while
simultaneously tainting the junk-bond name.
Back in the '80s junk bonds were famous as a way to
pay for the takeover of large corporations. Need $20 billion to
take over RJR Nabisco -- as buyout-firm KKR once did? Issue $20
billion in junk bonds. Whoever bought them assumed the risk that
the taken-over RJR Nabisco would indeed be able to service all its
debts, or at the very least be able to be broken up and sold off.
Bad assumption. One of the great debacles about the leveraged buyout
boom of the '80s, was that junk bonds for incurred in takeovers
almost universally suffered, because the debt loads were far too
heavy.
Nowadays, junk bonds are perceived to be legitimate
investments -- although debacles still occur. Individual investors
who feel comfortable with the high-risk/high-return model can buy
them through junk-bond mutual funds, whereby a chunk of money is
invested across a number of different bonds, thereby further reducing
the risk. (Although no matter who you are, the junk-bond component
of your overall portfolio should still be rather small.)
Of course, if you're the kind of person who would
just as soon not give that $1,000 to the sketchy guy who lives by
the train, junk bonds might not be the investment for you.
-- Posted: Dec. 20, 2000
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