Best financial moves to make: Mortgages
By Bankrate.com
Here's how the Fed's latest announcement
will affect mortgage rates.
Fixed-rate mortgages:
The economy has changed since the last meeting of the Federal Reserve's
rate-setting committee. In November, the economic recovery had yet
to gain traction, with a poor job market and low inflation. But
job growth has picked up and inflation might be making a comeback.
That's a recipe for higher interest rates.
Many economists expect the Fed to raise short-term
rates when the rate-policy body meets Aug. 10. Don't expect mortgage
rates to wait. Rates on 15- and 30-year fixed-rate mortgages tend
to move up and down before the Fed acts. If the Fed raises short-term
rates Aug. 10, it will be preceded by months of positive economic
news and much speculation. Long-term mortgage rates will rise during
that period, anticipating the Fed action.
Don't panic. Most housing economists expect long-term
mortgage rates to rise this year, but slowly; 30-year rates are
expected to end the year at well under 7 percent.
In Bankrate.com's weekly index of mortgage rates offered
by large lenders, the average 30-year rate on April 28 was 6.07
percent. The average 15-year rate was 5.40 percent.
Best move now:
Long-term rates have risen about six-tenths of a percentage point
in the last month, ignited by an employment report that estimated
the economy created a net 308,000 jobs in March. Some observers,
including the chief economist for the Mortgage Bankers Association,
believe that long-term rates rose too far and will fall back a little
before resuming an upward path in the summer. Other economists expect
rates to continue rising, but gradually.
Faced with more than the usual uncertainty, you might
want to decide now how high a rate you're willing to pay. Then you
could float and hope that rates stay the same or drop. But if rates
rise, you will have identified the point at which you would lock.
You have to have discipline to do this, and the emotional strength
to refrain from kicking yourself if rates rise, you lock, and rates
fall back.
Adjustable-rate mortgages:
In Bankrate.com's weekly index of mortgage rates offered by large
lenders, the average one-year ARM on April 28 was 3.85 percent,
almost exactly the rate at the beginning of the year. The average
rate on the 1-year ARM started the year at 3.87 percent, dipped
almost half a point, and returned.
Best move now:
Because they sport such low rates, ARMs have increased in popularity.
You definitely should consider an ARM if you plan to live in the
house for five or fewer years. You can get a "hybrid ARM"
-- one with a lower initial rate that lasts for three, five, seven
or 10 years, and then adjusts annually thereafter.
If you plan to live in the house for a long
time, you might be better off getting a fixed-rate mortgage, especially
if you're a middle-class person whose earnings come from wages or
a salary. People who have a lot of investment income might find
ARMs to be appropriate, even if they plan to occupy the house for
a long time, because they can better handle the risk of rising rates.
Try the Bankrate.com
mortgage rate search to locate the best deal.
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