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you know your bankruptcy risk score? | | |
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Analysts at credit reporting agencies say advanced
mathematics and data analytics are used to determine the complex
score.
However, they say, some variables come directly from
your credit report, such as how the credit is used, how often a
bill payment is late and the number of inquiries made.
"For a conventional credit score, you want a
high number," Gross says. "For a bankruptcy score you
want a low number. And to increase the complexity, the range of
the numbers is not the same. The credit score has a range of 350-850.
The bankruptcy score range starts in the negative numbers and increases
to possibly 2,000."
So, why is it kept from the public?
"The argument is that people spent time and money
researching the scoring model, and no one wants to disclose the
model because they are giving away the value of the research that
they've conducted," says Gross.
However, Experian is considering making its score
available to consumers.
"We feel that it may help consumers if they are
getting in trouble with their debt," says Samah Haggag, manager
of analytics at Experian.
A July study by Experian
is giving consumers some insight. The study ranked the states with the highest
propensity to have consumers file for bankruptcy within the next year. The top
five are: - Texas
- Nevada
- New Mexico
- Louisiana
-
Arizona
Economist Mark Lauritano of Global Insight in Massachusetts
says from a broad economic view you can see the reasons why Texas
would be at the top of the list.
"Based on studies we've done: It's a relatively
young state, people are moving to Texas, there's a lot of immigration
from south of the border, it has a below average income and it has
a relatively low homeownership rate," says Lauritano.
And, although the bankruptcy risk score may be kept
under wraps, at least for now, researchers describe some actions
that can help
improve your score: Pay
all of your bills on time, keep
debt balances low and open
accounts only when necessary.
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